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<p class="MsoNormal">A recurring question in using crop models to simulate potential impacts of climate change is what constitutes sufficiently novel or high quality work to merit publication in a peer-reviewed journal? As modeling tools become easier to use
and base data become more widely available, one could argue that simply simulating potential impacts for crop X in country Y is no longer original research: the work is more of an engineering exercise that should be published as a report, not an article in
a science journal. Meanwhile, controversies over the reliability of IPCC findings have created demand for greater reliance on peer review.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">These conflicting concerns (among others) led us to conduct a structured review of how crop models are used to simulate potential impacts of climate change. The basic methodology was to score 221 papers for traits under six subject areas:<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">1.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>target crops and regions<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">2.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>the crop model(s) used and their characteristics<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">3.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>sources and application of data on [CO2] and climate<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">4.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>impact parameters evaluated<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">5.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>assessment of variability or risk<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1"><![if !supportLists]><span style="mso-list:Ignore">6.<span style="font:7.0pt "Times New Roman"">
</span></span><![endif]>adaptation strategies.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The results were published in Field Crops Research:<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378429011002395">http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378429011002395</a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">There appear to be ample opportunities for novel research in simulating potential impacts of climate change and for improving our basic approaches in such work.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">If you are unable to access the full text, please feel free to contact me direct for a copy of the paper.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Warmest regards (and as always, apologies for cross postings.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Jeff White<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Jeffrey W. White<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Plant Physiologist<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">ALARC USDA ARS<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">21881 N Cardon Lane<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Maricopa AZ 85138<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt">Tel +1-520-316-6368<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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